Research
Climate dynamics, model evaluation, and data-driven methods for complex geophysical systems
Atlantic Meridional Overturning CirculationGeorgia Tech, with Los Alamos National LaboratoryOngoing
Why models and reanalyses disagree about the AMOC
The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation transports heat and freshwater northward and is central to climate on both sides of the Atlantic. Reanalyses and climate models nonetheless offer markedly different estimates of its strength and variability. This work compares these products systematically, examining freshwater transport, temperature and salinity, and quantifies how model resolution and configuration alter the simulated circulation.
Related: Raganato et al. (2026), Journal of Climate.
MethodsGeorgia TechOngoing
Data-driven evaluation of climate models
Building on the manifold-learning framework of Falasca et al. (2022), I apply dimensionality reduction, mutual information and time-series analysis to identify structure and dependencies in high-dimensional climate fields. The aim is to measure where a model’s dynamics depart from the observed system, rather than comparing mean states alone.
TeleconnectionsICTP, Trieste2022 – 2025
Tropical forcing of the North Atlantic–European climate
With Fred Kucharski and Muhammad Adnan Abid, I studied the combined influence of the Indian Ocean Dipole and ENSO on the North Atlantic–European circulation in early boreal winter, using ERA5 reanalysis and the ECMWF SEAS5 hindcast. Experiments with the SPEEDY atmospheric model tested how the strength of the subtropical jet shapes the extratropical response, with implications for seasonal predictability over Europe.
Related: Raganato et al. (2025), Journal of Climate; Reale et al. (2025), Geophysical Research Letters.
Publications
Peer-reviewed journal articles
AMOC discrepancies across reanalyses and models limit dynamical understanding
Raganato, A., Bracco, A., Van Roekel, L., & Iovino, D.
Journal of Climate (2026)
DOI
Response of early winter precipitation and storm activity in the North Atlantic–European–Mediterranean region to Indian Ocean SST variability
Reale, M., Raganato, A., d’Andrea, F., Abid, M. A., Hochman, A., Chowdhury, N. R., … & Kucharski, F.
Geophysical Research Letters, 52(20), e2025GL116732 (2025)
DOI
The combined link of the Indian Ocean Dipole and ENSO with the North Atlantic–European circulation during early boreal winter in reanalysis and the ECMWF SEAS5 hindcast
Raganato, A., Abid, M. A., & Kucharski, F.
Journal of Climate, 38(2), 445–460 (2025)
A complete and current list is available on Google Scholar.
Teaching
Georgia Institute of Technology
Spring 2024School of Earth and Atmospheric SciencesTeaching Assistant
Introduction to Environmental Sciences
Prepared in-class activities and course assessments for groups of 15–25 undergraduate students, and graded student work to keep the class on track with the material.
Contact
I welcome inquiries about research collaborations and opportunities.